The Afghan government may fall six months after the US withdrawal. The Wall Street Journal claims that the US intelligence appraisal is that the Kabul-based government may fall within six months after the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan.
Informed sources claim that the US intelligence community in this assessment, which was conducted last week, corrected its previous estimates, which were more optimistic, regarding the Taliban’s advance in northern Afghanistan.
The U.S. military has withdrawn more than half of Afghanistan’s 3,500 troops and some of its equipment, and the withdrawal is scheduled to be completed by 9/11.
Wall Street Journal writes that US intelligence experts have previously believed that the government of Afghan President Ashraf Ghani will last at least two years after the US withdrawal.
But US officials have now told the Wall Street Journal that the latest view of US intelligence analysts and military officials is that the Afghan government and its capital, Kabul, may fall between six and 12 months after the withdrawal.
Some other Western officials believe that the fall of the government may occur within three months after the completion of the US withdrawal.
The new assessment has prompted US military officials to make plans to evacuate US personnel in Kabul if the situation worsens, the Wall Street Journal reported.
However, Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said Tuesday that the White House has no plans to delay Joe Biden’s plan to complete his withdrawal from Afghanistan by 9/11.
Taliban attacks on Afghan forces have intensified over the past two months. The attacks have intensified, especially since Biden announced his plan to leave Afghanistan by 9/11.
In the past two months, about 50 cities have either been captured by the Taliban or have witnessed clashes. Many of these cities have fallen to the Taliban without the resistance of security forces.
The lack of reinforcements is considered to be one of the main reasons for the fall of the city centers to the Taliban.
