Has the zero hour of Turkey’s ground attack on Syria come?
The escalation of tension between the Turkish government and the Syrian Kurdish groups indicates that the “zero hour” of Ankara’s ground attack on the country’s southern neighbor, Syria, is approaching. The terrorist operation of the “PKK” group in Istanbul and the mortar attack in the province of Gazi Intap in the south of Turkey have become an opportunity for the Erdogan government to bring public opinion to start a ground attack on Syria. Referring to the actions of Kurdish groups, he claimed that Turkey’s possible response to airstrikes will not be limited.
It seems that the 2023 elections and the opposition’s lead in the polls have caused the established government to turn to an aggressive foreign policy to compensate for its weaknesses in the economic field and to intensify nationalist sentiments through war with sub-state actors. Undoubtedly, the start of Turkey’s military attack in the north and northeast of Syria will not go unanswered by regional and extra-regional powers such as Iran, Russia, and the United States, and this issue can impose new costs on the country’s economy and foreign relations. Accordingly, in this note, we will try to take a look at the consequences of a possible Turkish ground attack on Syria.
