Factors of possible failure of Muhammad bin Salman to seize the throne of Saudi Arabia.
According to Saudi Lex, sources in the royal court revealed the great persecution that “Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman” has shown in recent days over the debate over the identity of the next king of Saudi Arabia.
The sources told the Saudi Leaks that the escalation of talk about who would succeed King Salman of Saudi Arabia would irritate bin Salman, as he is the crown prince and thinks that his sole right to sit on the throne.
The sources added that bin Salman is more aware than ever of the seriousness of the discussion about King Salman’s successor, not only in the corridors of the ruling family, but even in the relevant American institutions.
According to sources, Muhammad bin Salman’s chances of gaining power so far seem high, but this is uncertain given his crimes and black record of human rights, as well as his policies inside and outside Saudi Arabia.
Observers unanimously believe that Muhammad bin Salman is undermining the future of Al Saud by competing with senior Saudi princes in an attempt to seize the throne.
According to experts, the Saudi Crown Prince may not succeed to the throne for the following three reasons.
1. The first factor is internal opposition, which is bin Salman’s biggest problem; Because he assumed the position of Crown Prince without the approval of the Allegiance Council. He overthrew Muhammad bin Nayef and launched a military and security coup against the Allegiance Council.
However, the Saudi Crown Prince’s internal opponents can be divided into several groups.
The first group of the royal family: They believe that bin Salman does not have the competence and power to rule Saudi Arabia. They see the outcome of the Saudi war against Yemen, regional problems and challenges with Iran, Lebanon and Malaysia as clear examples of Riyadh’s recklessness.
On the other hand, according to the Allegiance Council, the monarchy between Abdul Aziz’s sons should have continued, but this did not happen.
The second group: they are more opposed to bin Salman’s contradictory behavior. They argue that he is imitating the approach of Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed in actions that are not in line with Saudi policies and internal reinforcing factors.
But the third group opposes the policy of repression and maximum pressure of Al-Saud from the beginning of the monarchy until today. There are also many citizens who are struggling with the reckless policies of the Saudi Crown Prince, including the Al-Hawitat tribe, who were repressed and killed in the Neom project for not leaving their homeland.
Muhammad bin Salman has killed, arrested and expelled princes and influential figures in Saudi Arabia since the beginning of his reign, and others have opposed his reckless policies.
2. The second factor is the international opposition that there is a wide range of foreign opposition, including the axis of resistance against the crimes of the Saudi Crown Prince.
3. But the third factor is the weak personality of the Saudi Crown Prince, whose analysis of Bin Salman’s personality from 2015 onwards shows that he is thirsty for power and lacks political and social cohesion. With a lot of propaganda, he introduced himself as the savior of Saudi Arabia and the new builder of this country.
The Saudi Crown Prince has not fulfilled a large part of his promises and has placed a lot of costs on Riyadh, and thus Saudi Arabia faces a budget deficit every year more than the previous year.
