Prospects for counter-attacks in Ukraine/Bloody weeks are coming.
More than 500 days have passed since the beginning of the war and conflicts in Ukraine, and during this time, many news and reports of the daily developments of this conflict have been published, but the Western and Ukrainian media have been continuously announcing for months that they are equipping the Ukrainian army with all kinds of advanced military weapons. To determine the task of the war in Ukraine by carrying out “big counter-attacks” in the spring, and while recapturing the lost areas, have the upper hand at the negotiating table in possible peace talks. Counterattacks that have been going on for several weeks, but so far have achieved almost nothing for NATO and the Ukrainian army.
The beginning of the story
The counter-attacks of the Ukrainian army and, in fact, NATO, which the Western and Ukrainian officials and media had promised months ago, finally began on June 4 (14 June) quietly and without official announcement in various axes, and according to reports, the Ukrainian forces Not only have they failed to defeat the defense lines of the Russian army and make a significant advance, but a large amount of modern military equipment donated by the Westerners has also been destroyed or captured intact by the Russian army in these counterattacks.
According to Le Monde newspaper, in the first 6 days of the start of the counterattacks, the Ukrainian government had issued a strict order for “operational silence” and no one was allowed to inform about the start of the operation, and the only narrators of the battlefields were the Russian media and officials.
While in the first week of the beginning of counter-attacks, the Russian media kept reporting heavy casualties of Ukrainian forces, Volodymyr Zelensky finally announced the beginning of these attacks on June 10th (June 21). Of course, without referring to the details of this operation, he said that “counter-attack and defensive measures are underway”. However, it is difficult to assess the reality of what is happening on the front lines, and both sides of the war put forward conflicting narratives; Ukraine claims to be advancing and Russia says it repelled the attacks.
As Le Monde wrote and confirmed the report of the Russian media, counterattacks by the Ukrainian army have been reported on three fronts: the southern front and in the Zaporizhia region, the Donbas front and in the southern region of Donetsk; And the third front in the northern and southern regions of the strategic city of “Bakhmut”, which recently came under the control of the Russian army after months of fighting.
Le Monde claims that due to the lack of real data from the Ukrainian side of the battlefields, it is not possible to have a true picture of the battle situation on different fronts, but it seems that some of these operations by the Ukrainian army are designed to test the heavily fortified Russian defense lines, some Probably to create a troop advance, and others probably just to deceive the Russians.
Counterattacks of the Ukrainian army are doomed to failure
In the early days of the counter-attacks in Ukraine, the Western media did not cover much, but little by little they widely wrote about the “calm and decisive advances” of the Ukrainian army to the point where the Ukrainian authorities officially accepted the beginning of these counter-attacks and Anna Maliar, the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine, on the 5th of July, i.e. Nearly 20 days after the start of the counter-attacks, he announced in a triumphant statement that “the village of Ryunopyl in the Donetsk region has come under the control of the Ukrainian army!” And we continue to advance.”
But with the passage of time, media and Western officials openly criticized these counterattacks. Jean-Bernard Pinatel, a retired French general, said in an interview with the TASS news agency: “The counterattacks of the Ukrainian army are doomed to failure because the Russian army is superior to Ukraine in all aspects.” This retired French soldier emphasized Russia’s military capability on the battlefront and added that he absolutely does not believe in the success of Ukraine’s counterattack. The Russians have significant air superiority. They also have the upper hand on the field. Even the Ukrainians themselves admit that they fire 4,000 rounds per day, while this figure for Russia is 20,000 rounds. According to Bernard, the Ukrainian army is severely lacking in human resources.
Disaster is coming
In an interview with Sputnik, “Brian Pireltik”, a geopolitical analyst and a former Marine of the 19th US Army, warned that the Ukrainian army’s counterattacks are turning into a disaster; What is happening is a complete failure in proper planning and infiltrating the minefields (of the Russian army). He explained about this: From the very beginning, it was a wrong and extremely unrealistic idea that the Ukrainian army, with the training of NATO forces and NATO equipment and weapons, could It should become an invincible army. We should not forget that NATO trained the Ukrainian forces in a very short period of time and provided them with weapons that they had to train for at least 6 months to a year in order to use them properly.
According to Pirletik, “The attempt to accelerate the training of the Ukrainian army was predictable from the beginning, which is disastrous, and we are already seeing it on the battlefield.”
In addition, two Western officials and a senior American military official admitted in an interview with CNN in early July that their prediction of the defense power and capabilities of the Ukrainian army was wrong and that the counterattacks of the Ukrainian army have not achieved anything important so far. These officials stated that “the counterattacks of the Ukrainian army have been less successful than the Russian forces so far and in the early stages.” They said, “Russian forces have shown more ability and capability than our predictions.”
