The fourth Israeli parliamentary elections are over, and the vote count indicates that Benjamin Netanyahu’s camp has not reached the quorum, and he still cannot form a cabinet alone. In recent weeks, Benjamin Netanyahu has been trying to push party, Yemina, into an alliance with the right-wingers – Somerset and Benghir – by giving concessions and promises to Naftali Bennett, who, of course, have not been better off than Netanyahu in the elections. They have not achieved the necessary conditions to implement their expansionist decisions in the West Bank.
The semi-final results show that despite Netanyahu’s allies winning the seats they aspired to, Likud’s lack of more seats has plunged Netanyahu into a dark tunnel that will lead to the fifth round of elections in the last two years.
The scenarios for forming a new government in occupied Palestine are almost limited to Netanyahu’s Likud party going to the Knesset with 59 members only if it gains the support of Mansour Abbas, who won five seats, although this coalition is also difficult; Because Bennett, Benghifir, and Samutrat – Likud allies – reject any alliance with the Arabs and do not want to participate in an Arab-backed government.
But the solution may be a secret agreement between Abbas and Netanyahu, meaning that Abbas will not be present at the Knesset voting sessions and Netanyahu will be able to get a majority of the votes in the Knesset.
There is another scenario, although unlikely, but that “Ja’don Sa’ar” will re-enter Likud, and if he succeeds in taking over an important ministry such as the State Department, it will probably lead to a stable cabinet for four years by Netanyahu. Be formed. But if this scenario is implemented, it will destroy the political future of Ja’un Sa’ar; Because his supporters voted for him in the hope of ending Netanyahu as prime minister.
Is it possible that Netanyahu’s rival party, led by Yair Lapid, will succeed in forming a cabinet?
This scenario is almost impossible for many reasons; Among them, the coalition that Lapid will form will include Saer and Avigdor Lieberman, as well as two Arab lists. If Saer and Lieberman participate in an Arab-backed government, it means that they are shooting themselves in the foot. Second, even Lapid is not ready to participate in a government in which the Arabs guarantee its survival and stability.
Thus, the fourth election in the Zionist regime indicates that none of the allies was able to win the necessary seats for the coalition. Political circles in Tel Aviv also believe that Netanyahu’s Likud party’s efforts to stay in politics are futile and a kind of vicious circle.
