Threats and opportunities of the Russia-Ukraine war for Turkey.
With the volume of weapons, money and manpower coming to Ukraine from all over the world, there is no hope of extinguishing this fire, which is near Turkey, in the near future.
The Russia-Ukraine war is on the verge of entering its third month, when Turkey has shown significant activity in these two months, and these activities have had significant effects on both Turkey’s foreign and domestic policy.
Examining Ankara’s behavior in this regard, it can be concluded that Ankara did not rule out the possibility of a full-scale war between Russia and Ukraine, and that Turkey perceived the tension between its two northern neighbors to be intense political tensions or minor local conflicts. This can be deduced from Erdogan’s visit to Africa, precisely in the days leading up to the war in the region, as well as his attempt to mediate between Kiev and Moscow in the pre-conflict period. Also, the non-clearance of Turkish ships in the days leading up to the war from the ports of Ukraine and Russia, which put Turkey on the brink of a wheat and vegetable crisis, and the failure of the Turkish state to pay attention to the evacuation of many Turkish citizens in Ukraine are other signs of this Ankara view.
Paying attention to the type of Turkish media policy in the early days of the war was also another sign of Ankara’s analysis that the war was short-lived. Because the ruling party understood this war as a political opportunity rather than as a strategic threat, and moved in the direction that, of course, with the prolongation of the war, the situation has changed.